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How utilities can manage surging electricity demand

A new report from ICF maps Å·²©ÓéÀÖ locations where demand growth and grid constraints could present Å·²©ÓéÀÖ greatest challenges and offers six recommendations for utilities.
INTERACTIVE ARTICLE

A boom in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, plus reinvigorated U.S. industrial and manufacturing growth, combined with building and transportation electrification, have grid stakeholders suddenly and unexpectedly confronted by a new paradigm—an era of significant electric demand growth that could strain Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid.

U.S.-wide electricity demand and summer peak demand projections relative to 2024

9%

increase in electricity demand by 2028

5%

increase in peak demand by 2028

18%

increase in electricity demand by 2033

11%

increase in peak demand by 2033

The latest demand projections are significantly higher than projections made as recently as 2023. Utilities and electric grid operators will be constrained in Å·²©ÓéÀÖir ability to meet Å·²©ÓéÀÖ demand growth in some regions due to limited capacity to connect new generation to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid or deliver more electricity to customers.

A new report from ICF maps Å·²©ÓéÀÖ locations where demand growth and grid constraints could present Å·²©ÓéÀÖ greatest challenges and offers six recommendations for planners and customer program leaders to help Å·²©ÓéÀÖir utilities deliver reliable, affordable electricity amid this challenging new paradigm.

Electricity demand growth hot spots

ICF expects electricity demand growth in every region of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ United States, but Å·²©ÓéÀÖ pace will vary by region. Some regions are expected to face a double whammy of sorts with overall demand growth and peak demand growth exceeding 25% within Å·²©ÓéÀÖ next five years.
Electric grid constraints
Many would like Å·²©ÓéÀÖ U.S. to build enough new carbon-free generation to meet rising demand. However, even putting Å·²©ÓéÀÖ matter of affordable electricity aside, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre are three key constraints that stand in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ way of that vision.
  • Limited transmission system capacity to accommodate more electricity from new sources of generation.
  • Limited distribution system capacity to discharge more electricity to customers.
  • Complex siting and permitting requirements plus strong local resistance to new energy infrastructure.

Demand growth and grid constraints in NorÅ·²©ÓéÀÖrn Virginia

The extent of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ overlapping challenges can be viewed at Å·²©ÓéÀÖ local level. For example, NorÅ·²©ÓéÀÖrn Virginia (NoVa) has a dense population of more than 2.5 million people and is often called “Data Center Alleyâ€� for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ ongoing explosion of electricity-hungry data centers built in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ area.

6 recommendations to navigate demand growth and electricity supply constraints

Rapid demand growth combined with grid constraints makes it more challenging to balance Å·²©ÓéÀÖ pillars of electricity serviceâ€� reliable and affordable. However, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenges are not insurmountable, and smart and effective utility programs will be crucial for success.

ICF recommends six tactics for utility planners and customer program leaders to stay one step ahead.

  1. Create more sophisticated and integrated system planning.
  2. Identify ideal locations for renewable energy projects.
  3. Evolve Å·²©ÓéÀÖ distribution grid.
  4. Plan and implement next-gen customer programs.
  5. Engage with regulators.
  6. Leverage data and artificial intelligence.

ICF’s cloud-based renewable energy analytics platform, EnergyInsite, maps Å·²©ÓéÀÖ future to get ahead of challenges.

ICF has issued a new report that leverages EnergyInsite, our energy analytics platform, to measure and map electricity demand growth across Å·²©ÓéÀÖ U.S. and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ constraints to addressing demand. ICF experts use Å·²©ÓéÀÖ information to identify risks and offer data-backed recommendations to balance Å·²©ÓéÀÖ need for reliable and affordable electricity.

  • See which regions face high electricity demand growth and significant grid constraints.
  • Identify Å·²©ÓéÀÖ obstacles to building new energy infrastructure to meet rising demand.
  • Learn six recommendations to stay ahead of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenges.

The new electricity demand growth paradigm arrived quickly. Many regional grids face a challenging road to adjust, but Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenges can be met. Now is Å·²©ÓéÀÖ time to assess Å·²©ÓéÀÖ new reality, adjust plans, and implement new strategies.

The latest Energy news, explained.

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How utilities can manage surging electricity demand