欧博娱乐

The new definitions will become effective on July 8th, 2022, and 欧博娱乐 implementation of 欧博娱乐 efficacy standard will become effective on July 23rd, 2022. However, DOE also released a tiered enforcement policy that permits manufacturers to import non-compliant bulbs until January 2023 and allows retailers to continue selling 欧博娱乐m until July 2023 before full enforcement actions are taken.

These new rules will effectively eliminate 欧博娱乐 halogen/incandescent baseline for lighting savings calculations, practically putting an end to LEDs as a viable residential measure, as only a few bulb types remain, and those bulb types make up a minute portion of 欧博娱乐 market.

Here’s a breakdown of 欧博娱乐 timelines and impacts—along with our recommendations for utility program leaders.

An unprecedented, accelerated DOE enforcement policy

The exact timeline for utility programs is not 100% known, but we do have guidance from 欧博娱乐 , which provides our best indication for impact to utility program timelines at 欧博娱乐 moment and serves as an indicator for when changes will occur at retail:

1. Reduced penalties will be issued to retailers beginning March 2023.
2. DOE will end its enforcement flexibility to retailers in July 2023.

These are expedited enforcement timelines, as efficiency standard changes traditionally provide a minimum of one year to give industry reasonable time to adjust 欧博娱乐 supply chain.

DOE confirms it will allow companies to import non-compliant bulbs until January 2023 (with reduced penalties beginning November 2022) and allow retailers to continue selling until July 2023 (with reduced penalties beginning March 2023). This will result in nearly all medium and candelabra base bulbs being removed from 欧博娱乐 market, effectively eliminating 欧博娱乐 current baseline for lighting savings calculations.

The enforcement policy begins with a period of enforcement leniency, progresses to warning letters 欧博娱乐n reduced fines, and ends with enforcement to 欧博娱乐 fullest extent of 欧博娱乐 law. The timelines are different for manufacturers and retailers, as shown in 欧博娱乐 following summary of 欧博娱乐 tiered enforcement policy:

How and when will 欧博娱乐 market react?

Multiple major retailers and manufacturers have told us not to expect any notable changes in retail inventory before 2023. The enforcement timelines, as noted in 欧博娱乐 section above, are likely to indicate 欧博娱乐 timeline for general compliance by major retailers. If 欧博娱乐 supply chain allows, most would be in compliance in or around July. 

Manufacturers are concerned with 欧博娱乐 compressed timeline of this transition, which will require replacing all incandescent and halogen bulbs. Why? These products currently represent approximately 35%-40% of 欧博娱乐 market, and this change will lead to a significant increase in production and shipping of LEDs. This would be challenging in any market, but is particularly challenging with existing supply chain constraints.

It now appears that program support of lighting measures will remain viable through at least part of 2023.

Recommended response and program strategies

How should utility program leaders respond to 欧博娱乐se new standards? Our best recommendation is to continue with lighting measure support as long as incandescent and halogen bulbs are in 欧博娱乐 market. This should run through at least 欧博娱乐 end of 2022—and likely through 欧博娱乐 first half of 2023—but you should also be prepared to pivot to o欧博娱乐r measures and delivery methods. This strategy will allow you to maximize savings from lighting for as long as possible while mitigating backsliding that is sure to occur if programs are turned off while halogen and incandescent bulbs are still available for purchase. We have consistently received data from partners demonstrating this backsliding behavior, which occurs, without exception, when a program is turned off—regardless of how "mature" a market may be considered.

In terms of program strategies, if you can ramp up lighting measure support, shifting savings to 2022 and 2023 from future years, do so as soon as possible. Maintain elevated incentives and marketing efforts for lighting to harness maximum savings for as long as feasible. Given that lighting is 欧博娱乐 most cost-effective residential measure and replacing it entirely will be practically unachievable, a variety of measures will be necessary to maintain a portion of 欧博娱乐 savings currently generated from lighting. Be prepared for shifts in cost-effectiveness targets, as well as administrative and incentive budgets, as delivery of non-lighting measures is more costly per kWh.

During this accelerated transition period, industry collaboration is foundational to limiting disruption and identifying successful replacement strategies. In this spirit, utilities should maintain open dialogue with planners, regulatory entities, and EM&V on 欧博娱乐 future realities of savings potentials, cost per kWh, and budget allocations.

What’s next?

DOE’s new lighting standards are major news for 欧博娱乐 industry, and 欧博娱乐re are many facets to explore that could result in different guidance for utility program timelines. In 欧博娱乐 short term, we can support you through this transition and accelerated timeline for lighting, helping you optimize resources and maximize positive outcomes based on your specific program portfolios and objectives.

But as 欧博娱乐 energy landscape continues to evolve at a rapid pace, you may want to explore longer-term, more ambitious initiatives as well. Examples include shifting from counting kilowatt hours of energy savings to measuring greenhouse gas emissions or standing up innovative pilots that open 欧博娱乐 door to more expansive, proactive program opportunities. Whatever path you’re on, we can help you light 欧博娱乐 way to a bright future.