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ISO-NE forward capacity auction outlook: Recent uplift likely to persist

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ISO-NE forward capacity auction outlook: Recent uplift likely to persist

This ICF International white paper examines results from Å·²©ÓéÀÖ ISO-New England (NE) Forward Capacity Market (FCM) auction 9 (FCA9) announced on February 4, 2015. Most developments that occurred indicate a more positive outlook for upcoming forward capacity auctions (FCA) than initially estimated.

If no oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr changes in supply and demand balance follow, pricing in FCA10 could be similar to pricing in FCA9. With Å·²©ÓéÀÖ suggested changes in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ dynamic delist prices recommended by Å·²©ÓéÀÖ independent market monitor, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ proposed 40 percent increase provides an effective floor and substantial support for upcoming auctions—even under Å·²©ÓéÀÖ most pessimistic scenarios.

Key topics in this white paper include:

  • Detailed FCA9 auction results
  • FCA price support
  • Merchant generators
  • Impact of new boundaries for local capacity zones
  • RFP for renewable resources and transmission resources
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