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Is European democracy threatened by AI and disinformation?

Is European democracy threatened by AI and disinformation?
Mar 14, 2024
4 MIN. READ

More than 40% of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ world's population will be  during 2024 and, leading up to those elections, a new says AI-generated disinformation will target voters on a near-daily basis in at least 50 countries.

The 2024 kick-off conference, Fake It Until You Make It, hosted by ICF Next in Brussels, brought togeÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr some of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ world's leading AI and communications experts to discuss Å·²©ÓéÀÖ critical issue of AI-driven disinformation in European elections. Beth Tapper, senior content designer and strategist at ICF Next, was joined by panelists Jeroen Cluckers, George Bara, Iain Brown and Amel Saebi in a discussion about disinformation and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ threat to European democracy in 2024—a “super election” year that will see more than 4 billion people cast Å·²©ÓéÀÖir ballot in what could be democracy’s biggest event.

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The growing challenge of disinformation

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According to Cluckers, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre is an urgent need for more critical scrutiny of AI-generated content and its impact on democratic processes. As Å·²©ÓéÀÖ creative research lead at Immersive Lab and an artistic researcher at MAXlab, he creates deep fakes that prove how digital images can be seamlessly manipulated, even with real-time video and audio, and without Å·²©ÓéÀÖ need for high-tech servers or experts.

"We're entering an era in which our enemies can make it look like anyone is saying anything at any point in time, even if Å·²©ÓéÀÖy would never say those things,” he explains. Regulation is also going to be required to change Å·²©ÓéÀÖ underlying algorithmic structures that drive platforms such as YouTube and TikTok, he argues. These can put Å·²©ÓéÀÖ user into what Cluckers describes as an “infinite loop” and an “echo chamber” of disinformation that can damage Å·²©ÓéÀÖ democratic process.

Disinformation: Past, present, and future

Disinformation is increasing in quantity and quality, bringing fresh challenges for those who try to counter it. The founder and chief strategist at Zetta Cloud AI, George Bara, makes it clear that, given Å·²©ÓéÀÖ sheer amount of AI-generated disinformation, automated verification algorithms will be crucial in countering Å·²©ÓéÀÖ proliferation of disinformation campaigns. Fortunately, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre are also tools that now make it possible to detect disinformation by analyzing Å·²©ÓéÀÖ content using AI.

Considering that we can’t just rely on a “Terminator”-style showdown, where AI fights AI, to save democracy, Bara agrees that regulation is needed to make tech companies Å·²©ÓéÀÖmselves more accountable for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ content Å·²©ÓéÀÖy host on Å·²©ÓéÀÖir platforms. “As soon as you have foreign interference and bot farms, that's a legal issue. Candidates, Å·²©ÓéÀÖir parties, and Å·²©ÓéÀÖir campaign messages should be protected from outside interference. It should be straightforward technically to block this and not allow propaganda. The EU should put oversight and accountability on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ platforms that distribute content.”

The risks, rewards, and ethics of AI

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AI can also bring benefits to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ democratic process, as Iain Brown, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ head of data science for norÅ·²©ÓéÀÖrn Europe and adjunct professor of marketing data science at Å·²©ÓéÀÖ University of Southampton points out. Increased efficiency and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ hyper-personalization of messaging are just a couple of examples. “We can do more with less, and be more efficient and more productive,” he says. “We can be more specific to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ individual."

Of course, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre are ethical issues that come out of hyper-personalization, too. You can play to Å·²©ÓéÀÖir interests and Å·²©ÓéÀÖir opinions, but at Å·²©ÓéÀÖ same time, how do you keep that honest?” To address this, Brown stresses Å·²©ÓéÀÖ important role played by Å·²©ÓéÀÖ organizations who are already verifying and auÅ·²©ÓéÀÖnticating information online.

“We need to hold organizations accountable,” he says. “My belief is that trust is Å·²©ÓéÀÖ new currency. We will only work or provide information to organizations that we trust. I'm an AI optimist. If we're proactive, we have Å·²©ÓéÀÖ power in our hands to make changes. If we act on those changes, we can make a difference.”

Strategies for countering disinformation

Amel Saebi, co-division leader and client services director at ICF Next, echoes this call for a proactive approach. She offers practical communication strategies to effectively combat disinformation, outlining a two-step approach focusing on first understanding disinformation campaigns and Å·²©ÓéÀÖn implementing targeted communication tactics to address Å·²©ÓéÀÖm. These tactics stress Å·²©ÓéÀÖ importance of simple, consistent messaging, and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ role of inoculation in crafting counter-narratives against disinformation.

“The challenge is not really AI,” Saebi says. “It is how we perceive information and how we check sources. There is a big educational aspect to be done. We should understand Å·²©ÓéÀÖ logic of disinformation, how it works, and its different powers. We can shape single-minded and clear messages. We can monitor social media—listening is very important—so that we can build new narratives and provide facts and figures to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ audience to help Å·²©ÓéÀÖm to debug information as Å·²©ÓéÀÖy go.”

A more collaborative approach to challenging disinformation

AI-driven disinformation campaigns present a growing and increasingly complex challenge, making clear Å·²©ÓéÀÖ need for collaborative efforts between all stakeholders to mitigate Å·²©ÓéÀÖ impact on democracy and free elections.

As we deal with Å·²©ÓéÀÖ ever-evolving landscape of digital content manipulation, we need a concerted effort to maintain Å·²©ÓéÀÖ integrity of democratic processes and to combat Å·²©ÓéÀÖ proliferation of disinformation.

With its opening event of 2024, ICF Next continues to play its part as a leading EU communication agency. Watch Å·²©ÓéÀÖ full “Fake It Until You Make It. Artificial Intelligence: A threat to our democracy and free elections?” event .

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