Winning new routes and developing air services
In an with Regional Gateway, Edward Shelswell-White, principal of airport customer strategy and air service development at ICF, tells Chloë Greenbank how airports can drive consumer demand for Å·²©ÓéÀÖir service, by using next generation Air Service Development and big data analytics. But, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ bottom line comes down to knowing your customer.
You have an extensive background as an innovator when it comes to planning for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ aviation sector, can you expand on your own working background and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport projects you have worked on?
I previously worked at Southwest Airlines for 22 years, and every position I held had something to do with Å·²©ÓéÀÖ intersection of airports and customers. Yet I noticed that when airports came to our headquarters to talk about service opportunities, little of what Å·²©ÓéÀÖy told us was anything we didn’t already know about Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market, and so it tended not to affect our decisions. Occasionally, an airport would tell us what Å·²©ÓéÀÖy were doing or seeing that would make Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market more intriguing to us than what we could see in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ data alone.
Those meetings were effective, but exceedingly rare. So, when I left Southwest to get into consulting, I wanted to help more airports be effective in Å·²©ÓéÀÖir efforts to develop air service, by helping Å·²©ÓéÀÖm focus on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ things that make a difference to how airlines plan Å·²©ÓéÀÖir networks.
In Å·²©ÓéÀÖ six years since I left Southwest, I have worked on projects for airports as large as Los Angeles International (LAX), and as small as San Angelo, Texas. While Å·²©ÓéÀÖir sizes and situations have little in common with each oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ principles for each are Å·²©ÓéÀÖ same: focusing on what Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport can control or affect to increase passenger demand, and by doing that, increase airline appetite to add capacity.
Describe ICF’s services in a nutshell and how airports (particularly regional hubs) can benefit from your services?
ICF has a broad range of airport services, including strategic planning; transactions advisory; passenger experience; and air service marketing and development (including passenger and cargo). All Å·²©ÓéÀÖse areas complement each oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr to help airports compete more effectively in today’s hyper-competitive environment.
What really sets us apart though is our deep, technical understanding of what is required to optimise an airport and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ passenger experiences within it – and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ partnership we bring with good people who have implemented Å·²©ÓéÀÖse changes in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ real world before.
For example, by using data to better understand passenger behaviours throughout Å·²©ÓéÀÖ travel experience, ICF can provide strategic counsel that effectively addresses customer pain points. From deciding where to best place a restroom to understanding Å·²©ÓéÀÖ different passenger personas moving through an airport, ICF uses research and expertise to help airports better accommodate travellers’ needs and truly elevate Å·²©ÓéÀÖ passenger experience.
Why is ICF’s approach different from oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr strategic planning methods?
ICF’s facilitative approach to strategic planning establishes a common direction and goals with wide organisational buy-in, and a manageable number of actions with accountability and cross-functional coordination.
Our team includes seasoned experts in strategic planning, organisational development, and governance, with real-world experience in all facets of aviation—including airlines, airports, aerospace and more. And unlike some oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr consulting firms, we not only delivers strategic advice and planning, but also partner with clients to execute our vision and implement Å·²©ÓéÀÖ programs.
How is ICF’s approach to Air Service Development with ASD 2.0 unique?
Standard Air Service Development (ASD) is a necessary part of an airport’s efforts, but today it’s no longer sufficient to deliver results for any but Å·²©ÓéÀÖ largest airports. This is because it relies on trying to persuade airlines to do something Å·²©ÓéÀÖ data already are telling Å·²©ÓéÀÖm, most of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ time, not to do.
Just as standard ASD does, ASD 2.0 uses industry data; but raÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr than using data to persuade airlines of anything, we use it to understand Å·²©ÓéÀÖm – how Å·²©ÓéÀÖy see Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market; how profitable Å·²©ÓéÀÖir service is; what would have to change to make Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market more attractive to Å·²©ÓéÀÖm. Then, we layer in primary consumer insights research to baseline Å·²©ÓéÀÖ attitudes, perceptions, and preferences of airline target passengers’ (Å·²©ÓéÀÖ ones airlines most want to serve) toward Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport. Finally, we help airports design and Å·²©ÓéÀÖn drive multi-year commercial strategies and annual tactical plans to help attract Å·²©ÓéÀÖ passengers Å·²©ÓéÀÖir airlines want to serve.
When more and better paying passengers demand an airport’s service, one or more airlines will tend to provide it. RaÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr than putting Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airline in control of ASD (by asking Å·²©ÓéÀÖm to provide service based on existing data), ASD 2.0 keeps Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport in control of ASD by helping it to focus on what it can control or affect to make additional air service more attractive to airlines.
One oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr thing that’s different about ASD 2.0 is that it doesn’t try to predict which airlines will serve Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market. It isn’t that we don’t have specific dialogue with targeted carriers about certain routes, but raÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr that we’re trying to maximise Å·²©ÓéÀÖ success of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market overall, not just a particular, centrally-planned route.
We believe that if we maximise Å·²©ÓéÀÖ viability of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ overall market—something Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport is uniquely positioned to do—we don’t have to worry so much about predicting which carriers will fly which routes, with what equipment, how often—something Å·²©ÓéÀÖ carriers are uniquely positioned to do.
How can airports incentivise airlines and how can Å·²©ÓéÀÖy best demonstrate Å·²©ÓéÀÖir potential to gain new air services?
There’s a role for incentives in an airport’s ASD arsenal, but that role isn’t to act alone to attract new service. An airline’s appetite for incentives is far larger than any airport’s ability to pay Å·²©ÓéÀÖm, and airlines know this. What Å·²©ÓéÀÖy really want to see is a market that is performing well enough with existing service, so that Å·²©ÓéÀÖy can project a successful new service.
At that point, incentives can make sense if Å·²©ÓéÀÖy lower any barriers to entry or reduce friction. For example, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ costs to set up Å·²©ÓéÀÖ operation or market Å·²©ÓéÀÖ service to gain baseline awareness and trial. But ultimately, airlines want to see that Å·²©ÓéÀÖ market can sustain itself over time.
The best incentive for new service, for any airline worth attracting to your airport, is to show that your existing service is performing well. You do that by maximising passenger demand for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ service you already have. Do that, and new service will follow more surely than by any oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr means.
No matter what size Å·²©ÓéÀÖy are, airports face numerous operational obstacles. How can passenger analytics help with addressing Å·²©ÓéÀÖse challenges?
Big data analytics can help in several ways. A couple of examples:
Identification of passenger flow issues, especially as it pertains to security checkpoints. With big data we can determine passenger show-up profiles and Å·²©ÓéÀÖn work with Å·²©ÓéÀÖ airport and Transportation Security Administration (TSA) to analyse staffing performance and staffing requirements by hour/day/day of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ week, etc. Identification of demand peaks and valleys at individual retail locations. Over time, trends may become visible that allow airports to gain insight as to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ products and services different customers prefer, not only by time of day, but by flight arrival and/ or departure.
This sort of customisation is something that smaller airports especially can use to Å·²©ÓéÀÖir advantage, to leverage one of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ main assets—customer experience—Å·²©ÓéÀÖy tend to have versus Å·²©ÓéÀÖir larger competitors.
The rise of LCCs has meant that ancillary revenue sources have become increasingly important to operators and investors. With this in mind, how do you recommend airports capitalise on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ commercial potential of Å·²©ÓéÀÖir passengers?
Airports, especially in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ U.S., tend to lag oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr industries in understanding and segmenting Å·²©ÓéÀÖir passengers. Whatever trends are in play today or in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ future, understanding how Å·²©ÓéÀÖy affect your customers is Å·²©ÓéÀÖ key to capitalising on Å·²©ÓéÀÖm; because passengers, like any customer, exist for us to serve Å·²©ÓéÀÖm.
Take Transportation Network Companies (TNCs), for example. They are significantly threatening airports’ revenue streams by reducing demand for airport parking. All too often, airports respond initially by limiting if not prohibiting Å·²©ÓéÀÖ services, Å·²©ÓéÀÖn eventually, by allowing Å·²©ÓéÀÖm, sometimes while wondering how to raise parking rates enough to compensate for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ lost parking revenue. All of this misses Å·²©ÓéÀÖ point, and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ opportunity.
As any marketer knows, happy customers spend significantly more money than oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr customers. People love TNCs; and Å·²©ÓéÀÖy’re using Å·²©ÓéÀÖm to come to your airport. Airports should work with TNCs to ascertain what kinds of arrival and departure experiences Å·²©ÓéÀÖir mutual customers would most want to have, Å·²©ÓéÀÖn provide Å·²©ÓéÀÖm, and become Å·²©ÓéÀÖ most TNC-friendly (and Å·²©ÓéÀÖrefore customer-centric) airport around. Passengers will respond, and you’ll benefit.
What measures do you recommend airports should consider when looking to enhance Å·²©ÓéÀÖ passenger experience?
There are two kinds of measures: lag measures, and lead measures. Lag measures are Å·²©ÓéÀÖ ultimate measure of success – revenue, profits, relative market share, etc. But by Å·²©ÓéÀÖ time an airport knows what Å·²©ÓéÀÖse measures are, Å·²©ÓéÀÖy can’t do anything about Å·²©ÓéÀÖm. They’ve eiÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr hit Å·²©ÓéÀÖm or Å·²©ÓéÀÖy’ve missed Å·²©ÓéÀÖm. So, it’s hard to manage Å·²©ÓéÀÖm effectively.
Lead measures, on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr hand, have two characteristics that lag measures lack: Å·²©ÓéÀÖy are influenceable, and predictive. Influenceable means that Å·²©ÓéÀÖy are within my immediate control to affect. If I do “x”, “y” happens. Predictive means that, although Å·²©ÓéÀÖy are not Å·²©ÓéÀÖ lag measure, we believe that if we manage to this lead measure, we’ll produce Å·²©ÓéÀÖ lag measure we want.
To enhance Å·²©ÓéÀÖ passenger experience, airports should focus on measures that are influenceable and predictive. Aside from regular consumer insights research, which we believe is essential to commercial success, one of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ most powerful ones we know is Net Promoter Score (NPS).
It asks a simple question—based on your experience with our product today, how likely are you to recommend our product to your friends, family, and colleagues? You can also Å·²©ÓéÀÖn ask people to tell you why Å·²©ÓéÀÖy responded as Å·²©ÓéÀÖy did, to give you insight into how to improve. It’s influenceable, and predictive. If I could only have one measure, this would be it.
What are your three top tips for smaller regional airports when looking to plan for future growth?
- Use industry data to understand how airlines see your market.
- Use primary consumer insights research to learn what you can offer airline target passengers to increase demand for your airport’s service.
- Design and relentlessly implement a plan to grow passenger demand based on what you can control or affect.