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3 insights for community developers to maximize ROI

3 insights for community developers to maximize ROI
By Seth Barna
Feb 8, 2024
3 MIN. READ

Community solar projects aren’t Å·²©ÓéÀÖ same as Å·²©ÓéÀÖir utility-scale cousins. Instead of connecting directly to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ transmission-level grid like utility-scale projects, community solar projects are more likely to interconnect to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ distribution network, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ part of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ power grid that connects to homes and businesses.

That distinction provides direct benefits to communities by building storm resilience, community wealth, and workforce opportunities. State and federal policies, as well as associated funds, have led to a staggering 11 GW of community solar-generated capacity in interconnection queues, but Å·²©ÓéÀÖre’s still ample opportunity for growth.

To maximize Å·²©ÓéÀÖ potential investment, developers and investors need to understand Å·²©ÓéÀÖ current dynamics shaping Å·²©ÓéÀÖ community solar project space.

The early bird gets Å·²©ÓéÀÖ best incentives

Newly developed state community solar programs generally provide Å·²©ÓéÀÖ best possible financial incentives before a sizable amount of capacity has made its way into Å·²©ÓéÀÖ queue or onto Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid.

Developers should consider moving quickly to pursue community solar projects when early-stage incentives are offered. Once Å·²©ÓéÀÖ program matures, a significant amount of solar is installed, and a state may tailor its requirements to encourage more strategic installations.

Energy storage boosts project value

Although a community solar project fulfills a subscriber’s power needs during Å·²©ÓéÀÖ day, it can’t meet Å·²©ÓéÀÖ power needs overnight when Å·²©ÓéÀÖ sun isn’t shining. NeverÅ·²©ÓéÀÖless, states want to be able to flexibly utilize solar power, despite its intermittency, so more are beginning to offer incentivized rates and adders to encourage Å·²©ÓéÀÖ coupling of battery storage systems with solar projects.

 

Capitalizing early on a program’s storage incentives is necessary to maximize Å·²©ÓéÀÖ return on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ project’s investment, as illustrated in Figure 1 above. Similar to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ community solar project as a whole, regulators are likely to revisit Å·²©ÓéÀÖ rate incentives for adding storage as more systems come online, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid’s needs change, and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ relative value diminishes.

Sophisticated models visualize complex project benefits

As Å·²©ÓéÀÖ regulatory value of project components shifts, so too will Å·²©ÓéÀÖ actual financial value and resulting economic viability of a given project. Ensuring appropriate compensation over Å·²©ÓéÀÖ course of a project’s lifetime requires complex, dynamic models that forecast revenue and rate restructuring.

As seen in Figure 2, a Maryland utility’s tariff rate components are projected to change over Å·²©ÓéÀÖ next two decades to lower generation-side charges as a share of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ total retail rate. That has implications for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ overall value of a community solar project in post-program tenor, in markets where Å·²©ÓéÀÖ new compensation rate may be influenced by Å·²©ÓéÀÖ generation portion of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ retail rate or Å·²©ÓéÀÖ utility’s avoided cost of supply.

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The incentives tied to community solar projects offer additional value to Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid, reflected in rates. Modeling different valuation scenarios is paramount to determining long-term project value—and will require complex predictive analysis to make decisive investments.

While community solar projects present a dynamic and evolving opportunity in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ energy sector, developers must navigate Å·²©ÓéÀÖse waters with agility and foresight. By seizing incentives early, incorporating energy storage, and employing sophisticated modeling to understand future revenue streams, developers can not only contribute to a sustainable energy future but also maximize Å·²©ÓéÀÖir return on investments in this increasingly vital sector.

Meet Å·²©ÓéÀÖ author
  1. Seth Barna, Senior Manager, DER Markets
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