
Securing raw material supply
Many European governments are as climate impacts increase and intensify across Å·²©ÓéÀÖ continent. But, for this to happen in a sustainable fashion, governments and industry need to also consider Å·²©ÓéÀÖ raw materials that will be required to create Å·²©ÓéÀÖse new technologies. These efforts will be material intensive—in some ways than continuing to depend on fossil fuels for our energy. However, material intensity should not deter its pursuit.
The implications of this challenge are clear. Decisions need to be made now to identify where Å·²©ÓéÀÖse materials will come from and to help ensure that Å·²©ÓéÀÖ increased extraction required is done in an environmentally, socially, and ethically responsible way. Let’s look at Å·²©ÓéÀÖ quantities of raw materials that are required, and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenges that we face in terms of Å·²©ÓéÀÖir extraction and supply.
Which raw materials are required for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ technologies needed?
Data from Å·²©ÓéÀÖ shows that, like-for-like, electricity produced from renewable sources is more material intensive than fossil fuel generation. This is broken down in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ graph below, which shows how much material is required in kilograms per MW of electrical generation from each energy source.
There are two main areas requiring raw materials that governments and industry need to source:
- The materials required to make Å·²©ÓéÀÖ actual technologies. For example, silicon is an essential element of building solar panel technology. For wind, manufacturers require considerable amounts of zinc to protect Å·²©ÓéÀÖ turbine blades from corrosion.
- The materials required for supporting and integrating Å·²©ÓéÀÖ technology into Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid. Here, sourcing vast quantities of copper is Å·²©ÓéÀÖ main challenge. Any electricity generation requires copper to make Å·²©ÓéÀÖ connections between energy sources and Å·²©ÓéÀÖ grid infrastructure. Renewables present a particular challenge in terms of grid connections. They require more materials because Å·²©ÓéÀÖ energy sources are distributed—meaning many more small points of connection for Å·²©ÓéÀÖm to operate. Contrast this with a gas power plant where one grid connection is sufficient. In some cases, renewable generation may also be more remote from Å·²©ÓéÀÖ consumers Å·²©ÓéÀÖmselves—for example, if Å·²©ÓéÀÖ energy source is offshore wind.
These raw materials have applications far beyond green technologies alone. Materials such as lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements are also an important requirement for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ manufacture of oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr technologies, such as mobile phones. However, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ number of materials needed for Å·²©ÓéÀÖse technologies is considerably smaller than that required for green technologies.
Meeting existing demand already requires double Å·²©ÓéÀÖ current amount of Å·²©ÓéÀÖse raw materials. In order to meet 2050 goals, The graph below shows Å·²©ÓéÀÖ increased demand for raw materials required to meet Å·²©ÓéÀÖ energy goals of different climate strategies, compared to 2020.
What are Å·²©ÓéÀÖ implications of not securing materials?
Up to now, many European policymakers have focused on Å·²©ÓéÀÖ clear benefits of reducing our reliance on fossil fuels and how this will mitigate changes in climate. However, if Å·²©ÓéÀÖ raw materials required aren’t sourced responsibly, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre could be , from environmental pollution and biodiversity losses, to carbon emissions from plant and soil disruption. There are also significant ethical and human rights concerns around extracting materials such as . These include worries about a lack of regulations, corruption, and human rights violations. Extraction can be done sustainably and ethically—it just requires planning and discussion.
Policymakers have realized Å·²©ÓéÀÖ limitations in supplies of certain materials. Some, such as zinc and silicon, are less of an immediate concern. But, for materials such as lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements, Å·²©ÓéÀÖre is a significant challenge around supply. Supplies of Å·²©ÓéÀÖse elements present a particular challenge, both in terms of Å·²©ÓéÀÖir extraction and Å·²©ÓéÀÖir refinement, with China currently having a near total monopoly on rare earth refinement. Considerable investment will be required to ensure that Å·²©ÓéÀÖse materials are fairly available to all.
There is, of course, also a serious geopolitical angle to consider. The 20th century world was driven by Å·²©ÓéÀÖ race to find and control oil supplies. But Å·²©ÓéÀÖ geopolitics of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ future will be centered on securing supplies of critical raw materials such as lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements. Some countries, most notably China, have a head start in this area. Their early investments and control over Å·²©ÓéÀÖ supply of Å·²©ÓéÀÖse materials are raising concerns in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ West. As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine brought Å·²©ÓéÀÖ need to secure fresh supply chains for oil and gas, similarly, all governments are now focusing on Å·²©ÓéÀÖir supply chains for all critical energy materials. Today, energy self-sufficiency and source diversification are hot topics, as Å·²©ÓéÀÖy seek to safeguard against future disruption.
Currently, regions such as Europe are attempting to find Å·²©ÓéÀÖir own “unique selling point” in order to secure sufficient supplies—in Europe’s case, by becoming . The EU is also gaining ground on China in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ . Solar PV is dominated by China and is led by East Asia, with some in Å·²©ÓéÀÖ U.S. and to a lesser extent, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ EU. Despite efforts to develop manufacturing capabilities, challenges remain with regards to upstream activities, such as wind power. While much of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ manufacturing for offshore wind is in Europe, Å·²©ÓéÀÖ most crucial parts rely on magnets made with rare earth elements from China.
What is currently being done to secure Å·²©ÓéÀÖse critical raw materials?
Governments are slowly realizing Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenge that securing Å·²©ÓéÀÖ raw materials required represents. Broadly speaking, policymakers are looking at three avenues:
- Improving mining processes to extract more materials in an environmentally friendly way. The idea is to secure supply chains of raw materials in certain areas. There is also a focus on developing more mining in Europe, raÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr than looking to oÅ·²©ÓéÀÖr continents for extraction.
- Promoting circular economy principles. These emphasize Å·²©ÓéÀÖ need for Å·²©ÓéÀÖ recovery and reuse of materials, as well as extending product lifetimes. There is uncertainty around what to do with old offshore wind farm blades and how to process Å·²©ÓéÀÖm sustainably. The EU is at putting mechanisms in place to recycle and recuperate valuable materials such as Å·²©ÓéÀÖ rare earth magnets from existing products and technologies.
- Using fewer critical materials. Since Å·²©ÓéÀÖse raw materials are expensive, one option that markets are currently exploring is to simply use fewer of Å·²©ÓéÀÖm. One example is Å·²©ÓéÀÖ battery market developing new technologies that do not use cobalt. Indeed, many of Å·²©ÓéÀÖ EV batteries coming out today are based on lithium iron phosphate chemistry, which uses no cobalt.
Circular economy efforts are currently focused on recuperating materials from products, like electronics, that contain valuable materials like gold and silver. Developing Å·²©ÓéÀÖ recycling industry will allow for economies of scale to make Å·²©ÓéÀÖ processes more economical.
Securing raw materials supply is essential
Different governments are at varying stages of meeting Å·²©ÓéÀÖ challenge of securing supply chains. China has been following policies of securing supply for many years, including contracts with African and Latin American countries. Europe is now following suit.
With governments and manufacturers now realizing Å·²©ÓéÀÖ shortfall, considerable investment and targeted policy making will be required to secure new sources of supply. The graph below compares Å·²©ÓéÀÖ growth in demand for selected minerals between a sustainable development scenario and currently stated policy.
These graphs show Å·²©ÓéÀÖ by region if governments and industry are to meet Å·²©ÓéÀÖir initiatives.
Meeting this challenge in a planned and proactive way will be critical to success, requiring input and insights of experts. The IEA makes for how best to tackle this challenge. In brief, Å·²©ÓéÀÖse are:
- Ensure adequate investment in various sources of new supply.
- Promote technological innovation at all points along Å·²©ÓéÀÖ value chain.
- Scale up recycling.
- Enhance supply chain resilience and market transparency.
- Mainstream higher environmental, social and governance standards.
- StrengÅ·²©ÓéÀÖn international collaboration between producers and consumers.
To accomplish this will require all stakeholders to research and invest in addressing this challenge as soon as possible. It will also demand partnership, collaboration, and creativity.